90X update

...advisory #4 of Invest 90X...

...I've skewd the image a little from the image of this one eumetstat weather picture. It makes it a little more to scale. It even looks like a tropical storm doing this, even though it isn't yet, yet as in could be. The red circle shows the center of circulation while the blue arrows show the upper level winds. I have to say, it is getting a little bit more organized, although the percent chance of cyclone formation dropped a percent because of the windshear. (it's going a tiny bit southsoutheast at the moment, though it looks like a lot) It is starting to form into a tropical cyclone, it is a tad bit away from being warm cored. Right now, this is not a threat to any land, but cyclones in the south atlantic are rare, only seven happening in history, the latest being "uruguay" in January 2009 (i missed it.). There is an upper level just southwest of 90X, though, that doesn't agree with it. I'm guessing it's bringing a bit of shear in the area, but that doesn't prevent 90X from forming. It certaintly wasn't the case for Zeta, in 2005-2006, where the tropical storm thrived even in windshear of twenty five knots! Even more astonishing was Zeta was over waters so cold, I would walk away from my pool if it was that cold. It was...72 degrees?... whatever, it was cold. But if the precursor to TS Zeta could do it, then so should Invest 90-X. It's only over thirteen knots of windshear and over 85 degree waters.