Do you think the oil spill in the gulf will kill...

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Alex is now a hurricane-I post 15 hours later

Does 15 hours count as a little after? I wanted to wait until Alex was a hurricane, but never figured I'd fall asleep before the 11:00 update. I figured that just in case that happened which it did, I would set my alarm clock to 5:45 to wake me up...the next didn't work, because it somehow got unpluged from the wall!!! So here I am, typing at 8:06 pm, I just got up...don't you dare talk to me until my second cup of coffee!

As for Alex, it is now looking strong, and it's speed...compared to how Alex LOOKS right now, it's speed is a puny 80 mph. But I hardly ever look at the pressure...maybe that will improve my forecast, even though I knew it would come just south of the Texas border.

I will send further updates at 11 o'clock in the morning, not just after that.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Alex about to become a hurricane

Judging by this picture of Tropical storm Alex, the five o'clock update will check Alex as a hurricane. I'll check on him and make a post a little after five o'clock this evening.

Monday, June 28, 2010

Alex update

Alex has current wind speeds of 60 mph.
A surprising fact about Alex: for the past four advisories, Alex has stayed nearly in the same place! But after eighteen hours of wobbling, Alex is finally going somewhere.
Oh, and as I found out; there is no state in Mexico called Rio Grande! Oops!
I'd say if shear is kow enough, then Alex might make it to category 3 strength by Thursday. But it won't make landfall until Saturday. Again, it will landfall south of Texas.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Alex is now in the Gulf of Mexico

Now a tropical depression, Alex has made it across the Yucatan Peninsula. A lot of people say that it will hit Texas, but I don't think so. It did make a northwest turn, though, but that trajectory doesn't put any portion of Texas in Alex's crosshairs in ant way, except that some of the rain from Alex might fall on Texas, so it can still flood. But mainly, Rio Grande is under the most threat. But Alex won't landfall there until the morning of June 30. But still, to those Mexicans that can read english or know how to Google Translate, I repeat Rio Grande is in Alex's crosshairs. And Tropical depression Alex will strengthen into a category 2 hurricane or higher, and hit Rio Grande as a hurricane as well. Seek shelter.


Tropical storm Alex has hit the Yucatan Peninsula, and apparently, crossing it fast! I'd say in the next six hours, Alex is already in the Gulf of Mexico. But it wont stay there for long.
Here's something I forgot to mention on my previous post; I am going to try to put my close up loop of Alex on Youtue. The image shown to the left is one of the frames; in fact, the most recent. The map still has crappy caliration, though.

Saturday, June 26, 2010

Alex update

Tropical storm Alex is now 60 mph. But as it nears landfall, it will loose strength, but at the 24 hour mark, it will cross into the Gulf of Mexico, and 36 hours in, it will once again become a tropical storm, and soon after, a hurricane. It might hit the Mexican state of Rio Grande, but it might hit more south. Wherever it does, it will in 3 days. Click on the image to enlarge.

Alex predictions. And one other thing...

Click on the image to see where the numbers are.
As you can see here, Tropical storm Alex has formed, with current winds of 45 mph...
Aaaugh! Fail! It should say Alex is moving westnorthwest! I should edit that...nah. Too late.
So as you can see in the picture from Google Earth (doctored to see why I made the predictions) you can see arrows. The blue arrow shows that there will be some wind shear over the system after it transitioned into the Gulf of Mexico. This should cause Alex to only strengthen to 60 miles per hour. It might become a little stronger at 65 mph. The yellow arrows show how the lower level winds might merge a little where Tropical storm Alex is going. But I may have miscalculated the points in terms of speed, shown by the red arrows.
The twelve hour mark, which is in between point "s" and point "1," is the predicted point where Alex landfalls as a tropical depression. At 36 hours, in between point 1 and 2, Alex has crossed the Yucatan by now, and restrengthened to a tropical storm again. Alex's strongest point is at or just after point 2, 48 hours. By the time Alex reaches point 3, it has weakened to a tropical depression, and then the forecast stops.
As for the oil spill in the North Gulf of Mexico, many forecasters believe that Alex will screw up the oil by miles, causing countrywide damage. But Alex isn't going anywhere near that. says that the storm will reach hurricane status, but there's too much windshear. But Rio Grande still has to take cover, so too the Yucatan Peninsula and the south tip of Texas. Tropical storms can still do extensive damage.

Alex has formed

Yes, Tropical storm Alex has formed in the north Caribbean sea, but a lot of websites say that the storm will travel northward enough to screw up the oil spill even more. I respectively disagree, as my forecast shows Alex slapping the yucatan peninsula as a tropical depression, and then instead of traveling nor'northwestward, taking a more westerly path, hitting either North Rio Grande or Southern Texas. (Rio grande is a state in mexico, F.Y.I.) I do not have pictures yet, but in an hour or two I'll give a more accurate forecast of where the storm is going to go. After all, I have changed my method of storm tracking. My method of seeing where storms will curve is based on looking at the directions of the winds of which the storm is already going towards. Then I'll see based on the winds around it whether or not those winds are go for change. After all, wind direction doesn't keep doing what it does forever, it eventually changes.