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Saturday, August 29, 2009

Danny will cause a lot of flooding


Tropical depression Danny has merged with a frontal system, and will pprobably be very dangerous for people in New England. Take extreme caution.
As for 94L, it has a seventy percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. In fact, I think it might be more than that. All it needs is to stick to having clouds, and to get stronger by just ten knots, and it will be a tropical storm!

Danny is almost gone

There's not much to say about Danny, it was torn apart by wind shear, and 94L will probably become Erika. I'll make a post on 94L today.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Danny


The huge area of showers and thunderstorms are actually Tropical storm Danny. Danny's path of where it will be, all computer models say it will be a fish storm, but I think there's a 20% chance of being driven into N. Carolina, as a strong tropical storm, or a weak hurricane. But if anything, Canada will have a huge storm coming it's way.

Danny

Look at the link that leads you to the Noaa website, and click it. You will probably think that isn't a storm, but it is. Also, notice it is aimed for Florida, but it will recurve. Poor Canada, they have to face TWO storms in one year!

Monday, August 24, 2009

Bill has left us



Yesterday, I went bodyboarding, and I have to say there was a lot of big waves. Bill has made waves 10 feet high, and I have to say it was awesome riding them. But in the Northeast, this means bad things. At least 25 people were killed, and this was also Bermuda's third wettest storm ever. So, this was a bad storm and I think Bill's name is going to be retired.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Bill slams Nova Scotia, Newfoundland is next

If you log on to http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-ir4.html, you will see Bill is about to pound Newfoundland as a hurricane. Newfoundland is not use to hurricanes because nothing has hit there in years, so this will be a wake up call. Bill has already sent 20 out to sea, and from them we can only expect the worst; death. A few might be safe, but that would be about it.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Hurricane Bill weakens



I guess it was far away from Bermuda, but still dealt it woth some storm force winds. I hope that it was useful to heed the warnings that I gave. Canada is next, and will still bring some hurricane force winds. I repeat, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland has a Hurricane advisory. You might want to plan where you evacuate; and fast if you haven't even started yet. Make sure you have 3 days or more of inperishable food and water. Also, if you are in the storm, and a person just happens to go through the window (from the other half, this only happens if the eye is over it and it moves away suddenly and gets caught in the wind), and has no pulse, it is possible to save that person with a defibrillator. Keep away from windows, because a window that is not covered by wood is asking for pricey fixes, and instant death.
I will record the landfall of Bill on my computer, and at the end of the year, post it on Youtube (hopefully).

Friday, August 21, 2009

Bill narrowley missed


Bermuda just barely missed Bermuda. So, if Bermuda isn't in the danger zone, then Canada is in it. Canada will likely get hit as a cat. 2 hurricane.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Bill very close



Major hurricane Bill is still putting Bermuda at a high risk. I repeat, Bermuda has a Hurricane advisory. You might want to plan where you evacuate; and fast if you haven't even started yet. Make sure you have 3 days or more of inperishable food and water. Also, if you are in the storm, and a person just happens to go through the window (from the other half, this only happens if the eye is over it and it moves away suddenly and gets caught in the wind), and has no pulse, it is possible to save that person with a defibrillator. Keep away from windows, because a window that is not covered by wood is asking for pricey fixes, and instant death. An evacuation plan is a more necessary plan, though.

Bill will be a cat 5


All the conditions are correct, and the closer Bill gets to Bermuda, the stronger it becomes. Which is bad for bermuda, because, well, obvious.

Bill is a cat 4


Major hurricane Bill has really done it now. Sorry about all those Bermuda warnings, but I still think you'll get a lot of huge waves that could bring rip currents.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Major huricane now



Hurricane Bill is no more; hello Major hurricane Bill. This major hurricane still has Bermuda in it's crosshairs. I repeat, Bermuda has a Hurricane advisory. You might want to plan where you evacuate; and fast if you haven't even started yet. Make sure you have 3 days or more of inperishable food and water. Also, if you are in the storm, and a person just happens to go through the window (from the other half, this only happens if the eye is over it and it moves away suddenly and gets caught in the wind), and has no pulse, it is possible to save that person with a defibrillator. Keep away from windows, because a window that is not covered by wood is asking for pricey fixes, and instant death.
Now that this is a Major hurricane, I think a lot of Bermudans have no choice, but to evacuate, or ride out the storm. I'd perfer evacuate, because this will be a cat. 4 hurricane hitting Bermuda. Be warned.

Solid eye

The "All Google Earth" promise is officially broken, but I will do google earth every once and a while. Bill now has a solid eye, enabling it to even more rapidly strengthen. Again, it will hit Bermuda.

Bill strengthened but still not a cat. 3

I am starting to think that there will be no landfall into bermuda. It has started to recurve already, and it's thousands of miles away. I'd still say that all that bermudans need to prepare for will be necessary, because it might be taking a straight path. A lot of hurricanes do this, catching a ton of people off guard. So, still be warned.



About to kick off the first major hurricane


Bill looks like he is about to become a Cat. 3 hurricane. Remember, it's heading for bermuda.

Bill is huge


Bill kinda looks like Andrew now, with that familar eye. Now that the eye is cracked open wide, it's strength can skyrocket. I think it will turn into a category 4.

Look!



Hurricane Bill has formed an eye. This will allow it to strengthen a lot more quickly. Bret, a hurricane of 1999, is a good example. While it was forming, Bret formed an eye while it had 45 mph winds, causing ot to become a cat. 4 hurricane in less than two days. This danger was narrowly escaped, because so many people evacuated, and it landfalled as, well, actually, it was only because people evacuated. I expect this to hit bermuda.

Monday, August 17, 2009

Bill has strong winds


Hurricane Bill: this is a deadly storm. This update is for starting to watch it rapid strengthen.

Big bad Bill is going to kill



I really do feel guilty to not use Google Earth after I said I would; it's just that this is a stunning picture, and would be perfect to put on this blog. Also, by looking at this picture, I would say that it is going through a rapid deepening. A rapid deepening is a process in hurricanes where the strength goes up, and pressure goes down, but at the same time very abrupt. A good example would obviously be Major Hurricane Wilma, which went from a tropical storm from a Cat. 5 beast in just 24 hrs! Something else that is interesting is the fact that GDFL predicts this hurricane will become a Cat. 5 hurricane, and at the same time, predicts that it will totally "kill" Bermuda 48 hrs later. Bermudans, if you want to get prepared for this storm, just look at the update that I made previously. It will probably hit Bermuda in 114 hrs. or less, but I'd say the waters are too cold to support a category 5 hurricane. Maybe it will hit as a Category 3 or 4 hurricane, but it definitely won't be happening as a category 5.
Claudette
This storm has taken landfall on midight of last night. How much rainfall, I think there was at least six inches at the highest areas, probably a lot more, because the heavy thunderstorm activity has hung below the system since this storms' third advisory, which probably poured down on Franklin County, FL, with an estimated total of 8 inches. Unless it does any funky loops, I think we don't have to worry about this storm, as far as I know, but just in case, take caution.
Ana
Tropical depression Ana is struggling to stay alive. I'd say that it wouldn't last four more days, but it's remnants will sure rain down on the greater antillies.
That's all I have to post for now, I'll post again at 8 o'clock or 15 minutes antiprior to that time.

Bill the devil


Bill is now a hurricane of 90 mph, and is strengthening rapidly. I expect it to turn into a category five and then come close to Bermuda, so close that it might actually hit bermuda and come ashore with 135 mph winds, Category 4 force. This will probably happen in about five days. If it does this, I will give hour by hour coverage. I repeat, Bermuda has a Hurricane advisory. You might want to plan where you evacuate; and fast if you haven't even started yet. Make sure you have 3 days or more of inperishable food and water. Also, if you are in the storm, and a person just happens to go through the window (from the other half, this only happens if the eye is over it and it moves away suddenly and gets caught in the wind), and has no pulse, it is possible to save that person with a defibrillator. Keep away from windows, because a window that is not covered by wood is asking for pricey fixes, and instant death.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Videos?

sorry i can't post videos for this website. But starting October 20 I might be able to do that with youtube.

TS Claudette tricked us

now heading WNW. Tried to get a loop up, try to find it on google videos.

ABC's

I don't have time to make an update right now, so I'll just give you useful loops.
Here is the full atlantic loop, and these are floaters of the atlantic basin. Claudette has formed and is about to take landfall.

TD FOUR TOO?!?!



Yes, the impossible happened; three storms at once, one of which is ANA! Well, I guess I said Ana first, so I'll tell you that in the next six days, it will likely take landfall in Florida as a tropical storm. But first, within the next 48 hrs, the upper lesser antillies will get battered a ton. But that will possibly only be a warm up call, because Bill will likely turn into a dangerous Cat. 2 hurricane. After that, Jacksonville's people need to evacuate a cat.3 storm. I am no extremely good expert, but, I'd say Jacksonville will be half leveled within ten days. And Four, it is likely to turn Claudette (I can't believe that's true, $%@# it). It will probably do minor amage, but might loop so be warned.

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Bill Nye the science guy! LOL

Not only have we Ana, but also have we Bill? Yes, that is true. I can't remember any season with the first named storm and the second named storm intercepting each other timewise. But that record has now been broken for the atlantic for sure for all I know. Anyway, the forecast for Ana goes first: every yellow line represents a day or so. This tropical storm is now making Tropical storm watches for the upper lesser antillies (places close to Antigua). And that all-ridiculous thing that happened; Bill. When it formed, it had me singin' "Bill Nye" for hours to come. Anyway, this storm is only 2 days behind Ana.

Remnants of TD2 become Ana

The storms above: one tropical storm, and one invest (with the big L on it). Other people we're caught off guard with the center of the storm. But our motto is: we never stop tracking it until it is officially dead and gone! Possibly by the end of tomorrow, I can be allowed back on Youtube, enabling me to make forecasts there, too. Tracking this storm was tough when it was a remnant low, in fact, some points I am not even sure that they are correct. But it will have to do, besides, that storm could have had a "face storm" when a storm has two eyes instead of a cyclops storm, which is common in storms and has one eye. Anyway, the wave behind it might have a chance of hitting FL, I am nervous because I LIVE in florida (though I am not giving my name away, that will stay anonymous)! That might mean no more blog.
Well, I'll check in with these storms a little later in the morning toay.

Friday, August 14, 2009

TD2 dies but is regenerating

Just letting you know. I am still tracking it's remnants.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

2 dropped south, so is now a threat to the eastern states

Tropical depression two has weakened a wee bit as it starts to head south. So as it heads south, it becomes more threatening to the caribbean sea, The bahamas, and Florida as well. We will be closely monitoring it's movement.
I'd say Invest 91 is about to form into something. Just before Two formed, it's precursor wave was extremely sloppy. So expect formation within the next 48 hrs.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

2 before the 8

Click on the link on one of the poevious links for floater one, which leads to TD two. I think a tiny bit of clouds dissapearring is a sign that it will strengthen again if it is over warm enough waters. So, by this evening, there will be a post on Ana, if it forms.

100th post means Google Earth from now on

Here's to Google Earth's reliability. It is up and running again. Anyway, the forecast for the atlantic is that there will officially be Tropical storm Ana by 8:00pm eastern daylight time. It is not threatening any land right now, because it is forecast to become a fish storm.
The wave behind Td Two is invest 91, which the GFS thinks will just barely hit land at Cape Fear, NC, and Long Island, NY. If that happens, I will seriously owe them one. They have been crappy all year, but for this storm just might turn into a Cat. 3. I will post again after 2:00pm.

Two will become a TS guarantee

If you click on the O, you will get Floater 1, which is monitoring Two right now.
O

TD Two still out there


This storm has been stalling to get Ana. I am positive that in the next advisory, she will shine.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Ana is on the way



Well, here it is; TD Two. Right now it's wind speed is 30 mph, traveling west. In my opinion, I think this storm could go many different ways. The best chance track it will take would probably be in this picture. I think over time, it will be a TS on the 2am advisory Wednesday, and then take a slight recurve to westnorthwest. Thursday on the 8 am advisory, we could see a hurricane. Friday at that same time, it will possibly be a category 2 hurricane, and start to track due west. 2am advisory on Saturday, Category three, and starts to take baby steps to the north with it's west track. At 8pm, it will probably weaken to a category 2 on Sunday. At 8am Monday, it will get downgraded to a Category 1, 2am Tuesday, it starts to head Northeast as it becomes a tropical storm. At 2am Wednesday, it will become a tropical depression, and become extratropical at 8pm that same day.
If this prediction is wrong, then it could go more north, or more south. Slightly north and it might slam Bermuda as a strong category 2. Keep in mind that about five days ago in the northwest pacific, a typhoon called Morakot totally crapped taiwan, and it was a category 2. So nobody should underestimate hurricanes; especially those of cat.2 or higher.
Slightly south, and Northeast coastal states (includes Newfoundland, New brunswick, Maine, New hampshire, any east coastal state more north than the Carolinas) could be left with a maximal storm or a minimal hurricane. Remember, Agnes was a tropical storm that hit the Northeast coastal states, and not only they, but Penn state (Pennsylvania) as well. Agnes did tremendous damage.
A lot south, and this storm won't be a cat 3 at maximum, but category 4 or 5 because of very warm waters. Remember Floyd, Hugo, and Andrew? They we're all monster hurricanes that hit the Southern coastal states (includes East Florida, Georgia, SCarolina and NCarolina). Andrew may have gone into the Gulf of Mexico and affected Louisiana, but the other two hurricanes that I mentioned would sound like what future Ana could do if it significantly goes more south than forecasted.
I'll keep you posted on TD Two, at 2pm.

99 is TD2...



...and to think this is one hour before the next update! Two is heading westnorthwest, and I think this will possibly take the same path as Bertha did (except there will be no coriollis that made Bertha dip southeast). If this becomes TS Ana, I will track this thing the whole way!

Monday, August 10, 2009

99 & 90



The two invests in the atlantic have we here today. There is 90L (left circle) and 99L (right circle). Let's start with 99L. As you can see in the image that I posted on this site (previous entry), it's starting to go into the images of Noaa. Along with that, convection isn't as strong as it was six hours ago. It is traveling west, and it has a 50% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone.
Now we go to the more interesting part; 90L. It was just declared today, and convection is rapidly firing like a minigun. As it is doing so, it is taking a westnorthwest track, doing so it is also strengthening over the warm waters of the Caribbean sea. Development of 90L, if any, will be slow within the next three days. If it does develop, however, then it will likely hit Cuba as a tropical storm. I am giving this system a 40% chance of development.

Barbados storm is 90L

just letting you know.

In addittion to 99L...


In the image below, there is a barbados storm.












99L has a high chance of forming into Ana

I still can't show you a noaa image of 99, but I will just let you know the first named storm of the year will have a 75% chance of being 99L. According to the SST, thus storm will probably become a hurricane. The bad news, if it forms, is that it will likely hit land, because this storm is taking a similar path to either Maria (hit Iceland), Andrew (hit Florida), Hugo (hit Southern Carolina), or anywhere in between. There are rumors and yingyang and all this crap about "Bill" being behind it. I don't think bill will form. That's too far away anyway to even predict where a storm in the sahel is going, okay? If I am wrong, then might as well bang myself with a rubber chicken 1,000 times!

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Invest 99 has formed

If you look at http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/IMAGERY/IR108/BW/FULLDISC/index.htm, you will notice a storm that is spinning over Cape Verde. That storm will likely become TD2 in the next 12 hrs. I will post again at 3:00 pm to keep you posted.